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Eyeball Surf Report
Detailed Surf
Forecast for NJ
The Complete updated Surf Report and Local Forecast for New Jersey
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NJ SURF REPORT
FRIDAY 25 APRIL 2025
Morning
Fair-Poor
2ft+ SE/ESE combo swell. Light S/SSW wind with fair form.
NOTE: The upcoming New Moon creates wide tide swings and limited surfability through the weekend.
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: Deteriorating conditions through the morning as S wind increases.
WATER TEMP: 48-49 degrees
WEATHER ADVISORY: Gradually increasing S wind
FLOODING ADVISORY: Coastal flooding at high tide at some locations
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
ARVO-EVENING
Poor
2ft+ SE/ESE combo swell. Moderate S wind. Poor form.
NOTE: S windswell builds overnight
CONDITIONS ADVISORY: Poor, drifty conditions
WATER TEMP: 48-49 degrees
WEATHER ADVISORY: Sustained S wind
FLOODING ADVISORY: Coastal flooding at high tide at some locations
CROWD ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
WATER TEMP
Water temp: 48-49 degrees
ADVISORY: N/A (water temps are creeping up)
Wetsuit: A minimum of a 4/3 fullsuit and 5mm boots and 3mm gloves are required
FORECAST OVERVIEW
Late Week-Weekend
Surf Alert, but...
Friday New, increasing, prefrontal S windswell fills in as a broad, disorganized
system (that's currently spread between the Great Lakes and the Gulf of Mexico)
gets its act together and creeps east tonight. New S windswell builds overnight.
Saturday This system is predicted to organize and strengthen as it moves ENE
along the Appalachians then toward the MidAtlantic and New England regions, bringing rain and continued S wind through much of Saturday. While there will be plenty of S/SE combo swell in the water, the question remains when will the wind
turn offshore? The wind will inevitably swing SW then W but the question is, when?
FYI: Overnight offshores will take some of the strength and size out of the swell.
Sunday sees smaller surf and stiff W then NW wind.
NOTE: Be prepared for these hit-and-run swell events as we get closer to summer
Check the 72 Hour Forecast below for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
LONG RANGE FORECAST
Next Week
Small
With high pressure dominating the Eastern Pacific, much of the US Mainland and
the Western Atlantic, next week is looking small. Hopefully we have the typical early morning windows of light wind and moderate surfability but keep your expectations
low and keep the longboard or groveler handy.
Check out the Long Range Forecast below for details
COACHING SCHEDULE: Click HERE for details
X-FACTORS
With the New Moon early Sunday morning, tides will be a major factor this
weekend and most of next week, so timing your sessions will be ultra critical.
In terms of storm production, the North Pacific is definitely slowing down. I am
monitoring two developing storms moving eastward over the next 72-96 hours
but with a big dome of high pressure firmly planted just off the California coast,
any storm will be diverted north toward Canada.
This, combined with the northerly track of the Jet Stream, will divert any systems
north and away from our MDR (Main Development Region), forcing our region to
rely on smaller, weaker, home-grown systems and trade swell for any swell event.
FORECASTERS NOTES
Spring is here, Summer is en route
April has a tendency for consistent surf and cooperative wind as well as longer, warmer days, but next week will be tricky as high pressure diverts the significant
swell producing systems away from our MDR. This is to be expected as we move closer to Late Spring and eventually Summmer.
NOTE: This party isn't over yet. We can still have a substantial swell event in the
coming months but they will become way less frequent. Stay tuned.
BEACH REPLENISHMENT
The multiple, multi-million dollar beach replenishment projects by the Army Core of Engineers have done serious damage to many breaks. This is especially true in
Ocean County and some of these breaks may take months or even years to recover, while others may never be the same ever again. We can also expect surf breaks to the north of these projects to get choked with sand as it migrates with the ever-present littoral current. Not only do these projects destroy or alter surf breaks, they also set up potentially dangerous beach and ocean conditions for all beach-goers.
TROPICAL UPDATE
The 2025 Hurricane Season starts 1 June and I will be sharing the predictions as
soon as they become available. Stay tuned.
Check out the Tropical Update below for the rundown
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Fun swell event on Saturday
(but wind remains a factor)
Smaller on Sunday-Monday
Saturday 26 APRIL 2025
SURF ALERT, but...*
2-4ft+ SE/SSE/ESE combo swell. Sustained S wind and rain through the morning and potentially into the arvo or beyond.
*NOTE: Monitor your local wind forecast and conditions through the day.
*ADVISORY: Expect funky conditions until the wind switches. Moderate littoral drift, especially at east-facing conditions.
WEATHER ADVISORY: Showers and scattered thunderstorms very likely through midday.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 2-4ft+ SE/ESE combo windswell. Moderate, sustained sideshore (S) wind through midday, then predicted to gradually turn offshore (SW then WSW).
NOTE: If/when wind cooperates then spots further north will be your best option.
Monitor your local wind. Timing will vary, depending on location.
NOTE: Bigger surf further south but potentially cleaner up north.
ADVISORY: Increased littoral drift
SPECIAL ADVISORY: The Army Core of Engineers replenishment projects have
adversely affected many spots in Ocean County
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 2-4ft+ SE/ESE combo windswell. Sustained sideshore (S) wind through midday, then predicted to gradually turn offshore (SW then WSW).
NOTE: Monitor your local wind. Timing will vary, depending on location.
ADVISORY: Increased littoral drift. Wind may remain stubborn.
SPECIAL ADVISORY: The Army Core of Engineers replenishment projects may adversely affect some spots in Atlantic County.
South-facing spots: 2-4ft+ SE/ESE combo windswell. Sustained onshore (S) wind through much of the day and most likely won't cooperate until after dark.
NOTE: Monitor your local wind.
ADVISORY: Monitor your local wind but keep your expectations low
SPECIAL ADVISORY: The Army Core of Engineers replenishment projects may adversely affect some spots in Cape May County
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
24 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 2-4ft+ SE/SSE/ESE combo swell. NOTE: Swell peaks midday then gradually drops through the day.
-
WIND Sustained, moderate S wind through much of the day, then gradually turns SSW, SW then WSW.
NOTE: Monitor your local wind. Some spots may turn offshore sooner than
predicted, especially at spots further north
-
TIDE Wide tide swings will severely limit your windows of surfability at most spots. Check your Local Tide Chart for details
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Rain and thunderstorms very likely through midday
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Increased littoral current. Choppy conditions until the wind switches.
-
CROWD ADVISORY Expect crowds at premiere spots when/if the wind cooperates.
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Fish, Groveler or Performance Midlength
SUNDAY 27 APRIL 2025
Small/Windy
2ft+ S windswell leftovers. Strong WNW wind, turns NW by midday. Wind tide swings limit surfability. Surf biggest early but drops through the day.
NOTE: The trick will be timing the wind, the dropping surf and the tides.
ADVISORY: Strong offshores and tide issues
WEATHER ADVISORY: Windy
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 2ft+ S swell leftovers with strong offshore (WNW) wind early. Wind turns sideshore/offshore (NW) by midday.
NOTE: Timing all the factors will prove tricky
ADVISORY: Windy
SPECIAL ADVISORY: The Army Core of Engineers replenishment projects may adversely affect many spots in Ocean County
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 2ft+ S swell leftovers with strong offshore (WNW) wind early. Wind turns sideshore/offshore (NW) by mid to late arvo.
NOTE: Timing all the factors will prove tricky
ADVISORY: Windy
SPECIAL ADVISORY: The Army Core of Engineers replenishment projects may adversely affect some spots in Atlantic County
South-facing spots: 1-2ft S swell leftovers. Strong sideshore (WNW) wind early, turns offshore (NW) by mid arvo.
NOTE: Timing all the factors will prove tricky
ADVISORY: Very windy
SPECIAL ADVISORY: The Army Core of Engineers replenishment projects may adversely affect some spots in Cape May County
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
48 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL 2ft+ S combo swell leftovers, peaks early then drops through the day
-
WIND Moderate, strengthening WNW wind wind early, turns NW by midday and remains strong
-
TIDE Wide tide swings radically limit your window of surfability.
Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY Windy
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Strong offshores, dropping surf
-
CROWD ADVISORY Crowds at premiere spots likely, regardless of conditions
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Longboard
MONDAY 28 APRIL 2025
Small
1ft+ SE/ESE windswell with light and variable wind early. Wind swings S and increases so form deteriorates by early to mid arvo.
NOTE: Small surf + wide tide swings = limited windows of surfability
ADVISORY: Monitor your local wind and tides
WEATHER ADVISORY: N/A
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Monmouth/Ocean County 1ft+ SE/ESE windswell. Light/variable wind early, turns sideshore (S) and increases by midday.
NOTE: Timing all the factors will prove tricky
ADVISORY: N/A
SPECIAL ADVISORY: The Army Core of Engineers replenishment projects may adversely affect some spots in Central and Southern Ocean County
Atlantic/Cape May County
East-facing spots: 1ft+ SE/ESE windswell. Light & variable wind early, turns sideshore (S) and increases by midday.
NOTE: Timing all the factors will prove tricky
ADVISORY: N/A
SPECIAL ADVISORY: The Army Core of Engineers replenishment projects may adversely affect some spots in Atlantic County
South-facing spots: T1ft+ SE/ESE windswell with offshore (NW) wind early, turns
onshore (S) and increase by midday.
NOTE: Hit it early and find a spot that can handle the higher tide
ADVISORY: N/A
SPECIAL ADVISORY: The Army Core of Engineers replenishment projects may adversely affect some spots in Cape May County
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for detail
*SWELL EVENT NOTES
-
72 hour Atlantic Forecast Map Click Here
-
SWELL Persistent 1ft+ SE/ESE windswell NOTE: Could be bigger than predicted.
-
WIND Light and variable wind early but predicted to turn S and increase into the double digits by midday.
-
TIDE Wide tide swings vastly limit your window of surfability at most spots Check your Local Tide Chart for details.
-
WEATHER ADVISORY N/A
-
CONDITIONS ADVISORY Hit it before the southerlies smash it
-
CROWD ADVISORY N/A
-
BEST BOARD FOR TODAY Longboard
MID to LATE WEEK
Small
Small, user-friendly trade swell next week. Waiting for updated wind data.
Check out the LONG RANGE FORECAST below for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click here for details
Small surf
next week
29 April - 2 May 2025
Small
Small trade swell next swell. Wide tide swings affect surfability through Thursday.
Wind data inconclusive
Check out the 96 Hour Atlantic Forecast Map HERE for details.
COACHING SCHEDULE Click HERE for details
FORECASTERS NOTE
FORECAST OBSERVATIONS
With the global weather pattern changing from La Nina to Enso Neutral, we are seeing more activity in terms of storms and swell events. Stay tuned.
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Stay tuned for the
2025 Predictions
Stay
Tuned
FORECASTERS NOTES
After the big predictions by both the National Weather Service and the University of Colorado, in terms of solid swell events, the 2024 Hurricane Season under-performed.
Back in late August, it started off strong with Debby and Ernesto but the rest of the season was pretty lackluster and definitely fell well below the predictions.
2024 HURRICANE SEASON PREDICTION
NOAA, the NWS and the University of Colorado issued the most aggressive hurricane season forecast on record for 2024 yet it fell far short of the predictions.
Check out the complete breakdown below:
23 named storms. 11 hurricanes. 5 major hurricanes.
RESOURCES
Buoys (Swell, wind, water temps in real time)
44065 (Northern NJ and West Long Island)
44025 (Long Island/Central NJ)
44066 (Western Atlantic) OFFLINE
Weather Maps
Ocean Charts
Windy.com (great animated North Atlantic chart)
National Hurricane Center
Additional Resources